Until recently I thought that the Right had won the
economic battle decisively, but were gradually losing the cultural war. Now I
am not so optimistic. Conservative economics suffered a set-back at the last
election and now Conservatives are actually helping the Left to still more
decisively destroy Conservative values.
Ronald Reagan and Margaret Thatcher won the Cold War
by bankrupting the Soviet Union and by showing that Right-wing economics bring
with it peace and prosperity. They therefore won both at home and abroad. The
Left had generally supported the Soviet Union or at the very least sympathised
with Soviet aims and ideals. But the fall of the Berlin Wall and the sight of
masses of Eastern Europeans voting with their feet made the Left look silly. After
decades of admiration of the Potemkin village in which lived the Soviet Union
the Left was forced to reassess socialism and reflect on the fact that it
simply didn’t work. It became clear to all but the thoughtless that wherever
socialism is tried it leads to poverty and tyranny. For this reason the Left
refocussed it efforts. On the economic front it would strive to modify
capitalism and make it fairer and more equal without trying to overthrow it.
The Left decided that it could work with the free market and improve it. This
is the essence of Blairism and other forms of social democracy present from
time to time in places like Scandinavia.
Social democracy can work well enough. There is a
balance between government spending on things that make society more pleasant
(free healthcare, various benefits) and allowing markets to be free and
citizens to be taxed at as low a rate as possible. Very high taxes and
excessive government spending will interfere with the free market to such an
extent as to inhibit economic growth. But very low government spending and tiny
rates of tax may lead to a society that is not very pleasant to live in.
The debate between British Conservatives and social
democrats is however essentially sterile. The difference is minimal and amounts
to a few percentage points on tax and a slightly different emphasis on public
spending. All mainstream UK political parties are really social democrats of
one form or another including the Conservatives. There isn’t a party that
favours laissez faire free market economics and which wishes to seriously limit
the size of the state.
Oddly however despite winning the ideological battle
in the 1980s Margaret Thatcher was hated by those who essentially agreed with
her. Perhaps it is for this reason that they hated her, because they were
forced to agree. The difference between the mildly social democratic SNP and
the Conservative Party is really trivial apart from their views on Scottish
independence. Both parties are in favour of free market capitalism. The SNP is
even in favour of lowering business taxes like the Republic of Ireland. The SNP
wants to increase public spending, but then so do the Conservatives. Both
favour reducing the deficit. They only differ on the timescale. The SNP accepts
that an independent Scotland would have to try to balance its books and live
within its means. But this is exactly what the Conservatives think with regard
to the UK. The ideological difference between the SNP, the Conservatives and
indeed Blairite Labour turns out to be practically speaking tiny. Why then is
there so much hatred? Why hate Margaret Thatcher and think of her as the Wicked
Witch of the West when fundamentally you agree with her about everything except
details?
Jeremy Corbyn has brought ideological difference
back into British politics. Since the end of the Soviet Union the Left
everywhere has accepted that the economic battle was lost. The task was to
modify the free market as much as possible so as spend as much of the proceeds
of growth as you could. Meanwhile the Left put all its energies into the
cultural battle, which can perhaps best be described as the attempt to correct
people culturally by means of shame. It is a variant on the Victorian method of
twitching the lace curtains. Don’t you dare show an ankle. Don’t you dare say the word “postman” or sin
in any other way against the morality of the Twitter mob. The social pressure
to conform today is the same as it was all those hundreds years ago when the
sinner might be forced to wear a scarlet letter. It’s a different form of
conformism, but the punishment. The letter is no longer scarlet, rather it is
all the colours of the rainbow.
The difference between Corbyn and Blair is that
Corbyn is a conviction politician. He is this in exactly the same way that
Nicola Sturgeon is a conviction politician. What Corbyn believes he has more or
less always believed. Likewise Sturgeon has been a Scottish nationalist since
she was a teenager and will always be one. The answer for her to every question
is Scottish independence. Even if she knew that Scottish independence would
make Scots poorer economically she would still think it would be worth it. The
same goes for Mr Corbyn. Even if he knew that socialism would make Britain
poorer overall, he still would want it because it would make Britain fairer and
more equal. It is for this reason that he prefers the Venezuelan model of
government to the United States model of government. The average standard of
living in Venezuela may be massively lower than in the United States, but at
least they are all equally poor and poor equally.
Corbyn’s long term aim is not to work with the free
market but rather to come up with a different model of economics altogether. He
wishes to increase the size of the state, put more and more private business
activity under state control, and more and more regulate how the market works.
But at a certain point the market really ceases to be free when you do all of
these things. Again it is a sliding scale, but as public ownership increases
the market becomes less and less free reaching an ultimate point where the
state owns everything and there is no private property at all. This is the aim
of socialism. Imagine no possessions. You don’t have to imagine if you vote for
Mr Corbyn’s Labour.
We already know that if Labour came to power and
tried to introduce socialism it would be an economic disaster. The reason we
know this is experience. Labour people may suggest that the experiment wouldn’t
go that far. Corbyn’s Labour would not seek to overthrow the free market but
modify it a bit more than Blair’s Labour. But we know that New Labour ended up
with a note telling the next Government that there was no more money. Do we
really want a method of running the British economy to go that does to us what
the last Labour Government did only still more so? But this anyway is to
misunderstand that about Mr Corbyn’s convictions. He’s not playing at being a
socialist like most Labour people. Corbyn is not a hypocrite. He’s a true
believer.
Conservatives cannot expect permanent Government. It
is not a good thing either that one party remains in power forever. But then unless
Corbyn’s Labour goes down the full socialist route of abolishing elections, we
can expect the public to learn from its experience of voting socialism into
power. It is unpleasant to suppose that we must endure a few years of Labour
wrecking the economy, but this no doubt is the price of living in a democracy.
It is crucial however that Conservatives learn one
thing from Mr Corbyn and indeed from Ms. Sturgeon. Conviction politics works.
People like politicians who have beliefs and stick to them. Conservatives
therefore should stick up for Conservative values.
The core Conservative economic value is free market
capitalism. If you lower taxes, public spending and reduce the size of the
state you will get economic growth. This should therefore be the aim of the
Conservatives within the limits of maintaining a pleasant country. Conservatives
should aim to balance the budget and spend less than we earn. We have failed in
this task since coming to power in 2010. No wonder we have been punished by
voters. If we were now running a surplus rather than a deficit, if we were gradually
paying back the national debt rather than inflating it away, we could have
argued against Mr Corbyn that Conservatism stands for living within your means
and sound money. Instead we could not do this. No wonder some voters preferred
his voodoo economics to ours.
Conservatives accept human nature to be what it is
and do not seek to reform it by means of re-education. The Left realising that
socialism had failed set out to rectify this failure by changing how people
think. The key task culturally for the Left was to put equality at the heart of
everything. It starts out trivially by suggesting that we shouldn’t use common
words like “postman”. Why is this? It is because of equality. A postman after
all might not be a man. This may seem harmless, but changing the words we may
use has the aim of changing what we are capable of thinking. It’s not about
postmen and that’s just the start anyway. The midpoint is when you tear down a statue of one of the greatest generals in American history. It could equally well be statesman or a writer who said or did anything to offend against a set of values that had yet to be invented. We must, after all, punish the past for being a part of history rather than the present. But this has nothing to do with statues, nothing even to do with history. It's about here and it's about now. The endpoint is when you rename Washington, D.C. after whichever prophet (Bernie, Barack, Billary, Benedict) takes you to the promised land of social justice. A new land is then founded and the old founding fathers disgraced and forgotten, their values discredited as much as their country. This happens when social pressure achieves the task of making us
believe that 2 + 2 = 5 and that opposites are the same and equal. When contradictions are mediated, at this point socialism becomes possible.
Socialism failed because human nature is unequal and
wishes to be unequal. The free market leads to growth that makes everyone’s
life better, but the price that must be paid for this is inequality of outcome.
The Left, realising that it had lost the economic argument, sought to be win it
by means of changing human nature by changing how we speak and how we think. If
enough human beings in the world could be made to think exclusively in terms of
equality, if their speech could be changed and the way they think re-educated
then the goal of socialism might turn out to be in reach after all.
The Left’s has focussed relentlessly on this battle
and in the name of equality has sought to erase all distinctions between men
and women and people from different countries and places. We must not
discriminate between that which is different, we may not even see that there is
difference. All difference must be annulled in the name of equality. To
maintain that there is a real difference is to risk opprobrium on Twitter and
the loss of employment at Google.
As a simple matter of logic it is obvious that a man
cannot change into a woman (i.e. man ≠ woman). It is likewise self-evident that
some things require difference and need their opposite as a basic matter of
meaning. Husband is to wife as knife is to fork. To attempt to eat with two
knives is simply to misunderstand the word “knife” and its purpose. Trying to
overcome the essential inequality of knives and forks is to fail to understand
what it is to eat. This is very simple logic indeed, but then 2 + 2 = 4 is very
simple arithmetic. It takes decades to make us believe that which is contrary
to logic and ordinary thought, but then the Left has had rather a lot of time and
is encouraged because it is winning. Many if not most people in the West
believe that opposites are equal and that 2 + 2 = 5. They are scared to believe
anything else.
Conservatives above all must not respond to the
success of the Left by agreeing with it. This just helps the Left to win its
battle. It may seem that it matters not at all to allow someone to change
gender simply by filling in a form. Let’s give them that so we can grab a few
Labour voters. It may seem that erasing the distinction between my fellow
citizen and someone from abroad is a harmless way to show yourself to be
liberal and progressive. We’ll win a few more Labour voters that way. But it is
to put equality at the heart of your politics and it is to concede the very
battle that we need to win in order that there is such a thing as Conservatism
in the future.
The Left depends on the idea that there is no
distinction between people. But human nature throughout history has been making
the distinction between my family and strangers, my country and foreigners, my
success and my property earned by my efforts, versus yours. The Left wants to
change human nature. Unfortunately it is succeeding. What's more if the Left wins the cultural battle, it wins everything. Victory in the economic battle follows as a matter of course. The long road back from the fall of the Berlin Wall will have been achieved by culturally putting equality at the heart of everything, which naturally will mean economics too. When people can't even think without thinking in terms of equality, when all difference is erased and unthinkable, then human nature will be ready for socialism.
Jeremy Corbyn’s success is in part because young
people can’t remember the last Labour Government, but it is also due to the
fact that the Left’s cultural battle has won over the young far more than the
rest of society. Education is ever more controlled by the Left and it instils
the values of the Left from age 3 to age 22. Many young voters have never even
properly met Conservative values and Conservative arguments, not least because
the Conservatives themselves are afraid to make the case for Conservatism.
The key to future Conservative success is not to
agree with the Left but rather to disagree it. There is a whole constituency of
voters many of whom presently vote Labour who would be delighted to find a
political party that stuck up for traditional, common sense values and the idea
that the British Government cares more for British citizens, than the citizens
of anywhere else. Our safety, prosperity and freedom are what is important to
us. Fair play and giving everyone a chance to succeed or fail matters far more
than everyone must win a prize and the outcome must be the same. People are
naturally different, with a variety of talents, skills and natures. They are
not equal, cease pretending that they are. That way lies socialism. That way
ultimately lies the Gulag of the mind enforced by the Twitter Committee of
Public Safety and the Google guillotine.